{"id":14961,"date":"2015-10-30T18:01:33","date_gmt":"2015-10-30T22:01:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nicknormal.com\/normalblog\/?p=14961"},"modified":"2015-10-31T10:25:59","modified_gmt":"2015-10-31T14:25:59","slug":"the-dh-is-an-abomination-the-nl-is-both-superior-and-real-baseball","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nicknormal.com\/normalblog\/the-dh-is-an-abomination-the-nl-is-both-superior-and-real-baseball\/","title":{"rendered":"The DH is an Abomination | the NL is both Superior and Real Baseball"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Also that headline is hyperbole. Welcome to my blog!<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s get one thing straight: the DH does not actually add &#8220;value&#8221; to any AL hitting lineup.<\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s also hyperbole, but not by much. Or rather, it depends on what that notion of <em>value <\/em>is compared against.<\/p>\n<p>So let&#8217;s get started.<\/p>\n<p>Baseball is an evolving sport, always. It might seem quirky but it&#8217;s only recently (starting in 2013) that the two leagues that comprise <em>the Majors<\/em> have each had 15 teams; so they&#8217;re numerically even now. Over the decades Major League Baseball has expanded with additional teams, who then got slotted into divisions, whose teams then bounced around divisions, and a few even traded leagues (illustrated in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nicknormal.com\/normalblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/1271813900.jpg\">this 2010-era Yahoo! diagram<\/a>, but most recently with the migration of the Houston Astros to the AL West (again so that each League would be 15 teams, consisting of three divisions of 5 teams each)).<\/p>\n<p>The long-story short there is capitalism now drives the great American pastime, with both <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sportingcharts.com\/mlb\/stats\/mlb-cost-per-win-by-season\/2015\/\" target=\"_blank\">big money<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/infographics\/2013-10-23\/mlb-team-values.html\" target=\"_blank\">big data<\/a> driving how team value is understood.<\/p>\n<p>But it could be a whole lot simpler than that.<\/p>\n<p>Again, for three years now each league has consisted of 15 teams in three divisions each consisting of five teams, what value does the DH really add to the AL?<\/p>\n<p>Well if you win games by scoring Runs, what does the DH do for that statistic?<\/p>\n<p>Here are the numbers*:<\/p>\n<table class=\"tg\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"tg-yw4l\"><\/th>\n<th class=\"tg-amwm\">American League<\/th>\n<th class=\"tg-amwm\">National League<\/th>\n<th class=\"tg-baqh\">difference<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"tg-9hbo\">2013 RUNS scored<\/td>\n<td class=\"tg-baqh\">10,028<\/td>\n<td class=\"tg-baqh\">9243<\/td>\n<td class=\"tg-baqh\">785<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"tg-9hbo\">2014 RUNS scored<\/td>\n<td class=\"tg-baqh\">9636<\/td>\n<td class=\"tg-baqh\">9109<\/td>\n<td class=\"tg-baqh\">527<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"tg-9hbo\">2015 RUNS scored<\/td>\n<td class=\"tg-baqh\">10,142<\/td>\n<td class=\"tg-baqh\">9508<\/td>\n<td class=\"tg-baqh\">634<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>*only caveat is these numbers assume all 15 teams in each league played all 162 games (i.e. no canceled games due to weather, etc.)<\/p>\n<p><div class='ctx-sidebar-container ctx-sidebar-container--BfLZ25TtMtXNwhe0EyrBNAGxuIkVNPsW'><\/div>OK so one thing jumps out for sure: the American League consistently score more total Runs per season than the National League &#8211; I mean, <em>WOW!<\/em> &#8230; Right?<\/p>\n<p>Yeah OK so they do. Of course, that&#8217;s not to say those numbers are all attributable to the DH alone, and even if they were&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Well if they were, let&#8217;s break <em>that <\/em>down!<\/p>\n<p>The 2013 season difference is 785 runs; divide that by 15 teams and that&#8217;s 52.33333 extra Runs per team; divide that by 162 games and that&#8217;s 0.32305 extra runs per game; or 1 every 3 games. Not astonishing. And that&#8217;s the best season on record thus far!<\/p>\n<p>For 2014 the season difference was only 527; divide that by 15 teams and that&#8217;s 35.13333 extra Runs per team; divide that by 162 games and that&#8217;s 0.21687 extra runs per game &#8211; or let&#8217;s say 1 run for every 5 games.<\/p>\n<p>The 2015 season is between the previous two: the season difference is 634; divide that by 15 teams and that&#8217;s 42.26667 extra Runs per team; divide that by 162 games and that&#8217;s 0.26091<br \/>\nextra runs per game, or just above 1 extra run for every 4 games.<\/p>\n<p>And how much does that DH cost you in salary?<\/p>\n<p>Or, conversely, how much more exciting is the National League not only because pitchers also hit, but because of elements like the double-switch that complicate lineups and keep pitchers and fielders and hitters alike on their toes a bit more because of the fluid, changing dynamics (not just <em>bring in a new pitcher<\/em>, now <em>bring in another new pitcher<\/em>). And perhaps those fluid dynamics are exactly what lead to fewer total Runs scored over the totality of a season, but I don&#8217;t care about that, and instead I want to see more-interesting baseball and managerial decision-making.<\/p>\n<p>Do you see what I&#8217;m saying?<\/p>\n<p>In the NL, switching out active field players during double-switches might very well be long-arc attributable to a diminished Runs scored statistic over the course of an entire season, but not by much: 1 every 3, 1 every 5, or 1 every 4 games. But in the end those switches &#8211; along with hitting pitchers and pitchers who see the game from that side of the plate &#8211; make for an overall more satisfactory appreciation of the game. And that&#8217;s good for players and fans alike.<\/p>\n<div class='ctx-module-container ctx_default_placement ctx-clearfix'><\/div><span class=\"ctx-article-root\"><!-- --><\/span>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Also that headline is hyperbole. Welcome to my blog! Let&#8217;s get one thing straight: the DH does not actually add &#8220;value&#8221; to any AL hitting lineup. That&#8217;s also hyperbole, but not by much. Or rather, it depends on what that notion of value is compared against. So let&#8217;s get started. Baseball is an evolving sport, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":15031,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[],"series":[],"class_list":["post-14961","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-baseball"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.nicknormal.com\/normalblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/847565427_25f4a99547_o.jpg?fit=700%2C525&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p6OfVu-3Tj","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nicknormal.com\/normalblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14961","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nicknormal.com\/normalblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nicknormal.com\/normalblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nicknormal.com\/normalblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nicknormal.com\/normalblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14961"}],"version-history":[{"count":15,"href":"https:\/\/www.nicknormal.com\/normalblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14961\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14977,"href":"https:\/\/www.nicknormal.com\/normalblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14961\/revisions\/14977"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nicknormal.com\/normalblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15031"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nicknormal.com\/normalblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14961"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nicknormal.com\/normalblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14961"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nicknormal.com\/normalblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14961"},{"taxonomy":"series","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nicknormal.com\/normalblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/series?post=14961"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}